Week 1 is in the books and we are off to a solid, semi-erect 4-2 start. I am knee-deep in 2027 budget reviews so I admittedly didn’t have a lot of time to come up with something cohesive where I can make fun of Ed. Believe it or not, I have to maintain a separate career because Ed doesn’t pay his contributors!1
I’ve known JoeyBets for 30 years. Last week, he asked everyone to play an under. AN UNDER!!! I really thought that was the end of our friendship, but here we are back for Week 2.
JoeyBets Archive
So, let’s hit some quick thoughts before getting into the picks.
- Holy shit, LSU. That was an ass kicking like you read about. Clemson isn’t the Clemson of old but they are still a major program. LSU officially has my attention.
- Notre Dame looked great in the second half and got the cover for us. But they have me now wondering if they have the offensive firepower to keep up with the other title contenders when push comes to shove. It’s obviously very early but eventually this is going to come to a head.
- What a ridiculous series of events that Michigan game was. I don’t know how you don’t see that and conclude that Bryce Underwood absolutely stinks and is nowhere near worth what Michigan has committed to him. That said, the line on the Michigan vs. Oklahoma game prior to Week 1 was Michigan -2.5. It is now Oklahoma -5.5 and is apparently the most bet side on the board in Week 2. Have we ever seen a line move of 8 points after 60 minutes of football???
- Malachi Toney of Miami is an absolute stud. He only turns 19 next week. Just outrageous. I am going to spend the next 18 months manifesting him getting drafted by the Eagles in the 2028 NFL draft (which is not as crazy as you may think). The Eagles own the first rounder of the Patriots in 2028. The Drake Maye narrative is starting to crumble, he loses confidence throughout this season, AJ Brown starts to cryptically post weird quotes on his social media and refuses to talk to the media, Mike Vrabel remains extremely #horny, and the Patriots self-combust in 2027. This results in a top 5 pick for the Eagles where Toney becomes in play. Howie strikes again!
- My under pick from last week was predictably one of my losses. I knew life was too short to take the under. God gives his toughest battles to his strongest soldiers. I will rebound accordingly!
- On a serious note, I can’t believe today marks the 25th anniversary of 9/11. This year is hitting me harder given the fact that it’s been 25 years(!) and because my wife and I watched the new documentary 9/11: Reunited on Disney+. There are so many things I could talk about with this world changing tragedy, but what I will say is days like today are a great reminder to live your life to its fullest and be kind to one another. Never forget and God Bless America.
Now, the picks. Have a great weekend, everybody!
Oklahoma at Michigan (+5.5, o/u 43.5)
Saturday, 9/12, 12:00 pm EST
Hold your nose on this one, folks. This is the ultimate contrarian bet. I will feel very silly if Michigan gets dominated but I can’t ignore this wild swing.
Give me the Wolverines +5.5.
Oregon at Oklahoma State (+23.5, o/u 55.5)
Saturday, 9/12, 12:00 pm EST
Oregon was the only title contender who played a team with a pulse in Week 1. They struggled at times but the box score tells a story where their offense was extremely effective. Oklahoma State is in for a very long day.
Give me the Ducks -23.5.
Ohio State at Texas (-1.5, o/u 49.5)
Saturday, 9/12, 7:30 pm EST
This is the third meeting between these two blue bloods in the last 18 months. Ohio State has obviously won the previous two (last year’s season opener and the previous year’s College Football Playoff). Both of those games were tight, defensive struggles.
When looking at the bigger picture for this game, Texas is the team that cannot afford to lose this one. Their schedule through the SEC is daunting and will be very difficult to come out unscathed. Ohio State still has some big matchups on their schedule as well, but it’s not like the gauntlet Texas faces. If Texas can’t win this one in what will be a raucous nighttime environment, I just can’t take them seriously anymore.
Give me the Longhorns ML -122.
Iowa State at Iowa (-14, o/u 41.5)
Saturday, 9/12, 7:30 pm EST
This rivalry game is always close. But this year is going to be very different. All the good players from Iowa State’s program are at Penn State now after moving over with Matt Campbell. Iowa’s defense is lights out, their offense has some spark this year, and they are at home for a night game.
Let’s take the contrarian view again and hammer the Hawkeyes at -14.
The Overs
- Western Kentucky at Georgia over 55.5, Saturday, 9/12, 12:45 pm EST
- UTSA at Texas State over 66.5, Saturday, 9/12, 3:30 pm EST
- San Diego State at UCLA over 54.5, Saturday, 9/12, 7:15 pm EST
- Texas Tech at Oregon State over 53.5, Saturday, 9/12, 7:30 pm EST
- Southern Miss at Auburn over 56.5, Saturday, 9/12 at 7:45 pm EST
Last Week: 4-2
Season Record: 4-2
- Editor’s Note: This is only 100% true ↩︎
Photo: Brint03, CC BY-SA 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0, via Wikimedia Commons
Lines: ESPN
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