For the first time in what seems like forever, Mike Trout is both playing and playing well. When that happens, both the local and national media start frothing about a possible trade back to his boyhood team, the Phillies. Will both of those two superlatives hold up over the next 3 months, before the trade deadline? Who knows. At the very least, we know people are going to be talking about it like they do every year. Let’s see if we can put together a deal…
DISCLAIMER: Trout has a full no trade clause and would have to approve any trade. He has never shown even a hint of interest in leaving the Angels.
How Long Has It Been?
If you ever get the chance, go over to Trout’s Baseball Reference Page and just marvel at his first eight full seasons in the Bigs. He averaged 35 HRs and 100 walks with a .308 average, good for around 9 WAR every season. In 2021 though, the talent was still there, but his body started to fail him. Over the 5 previous years before 2026, these were the total games he managed: 36, 119, 82, 29, 130. While the 130 last year was encouraging, it was also the worst of his a career statistically.
Outside of 2025, when Trout has played, he has still been pretty good. The strikeouts are very high, probably due to him selling out for more power that has resulted in a lower average but mostly the same HR rate.
This season at 34 years of age, Trout has only missed 1 out of the Angels 37 games. Shockingly, he has played in CF damn near every game too. He leads the league in walks, is mashing HRs (but curiously not hitting any doubles), and has a 1.000 OPS. Can he keep this up? No idea, but let’s have some fun with it while we can.
The Money
In 2019, Instead of listening to his good buddy Bryce Harper about coming to Philadelphia, Trout signed a 12 year, $426m extension with the Angels. That deal pays him $37.1m this season (would be pro-rated to around $11.5m at the deadline) and that same amount over the next 4 seasons, ending when he is 39 years old. That’s still $150ish million on the deal after this season. Bonkers.
Unsurprisingly, the Phillies have a serious need in the outfield. Brandon Marsh is having a nice start to the season but is a platoon bat despite few wanting to believe that; Justin Crawford is either having a fine rookie season with some ups and downs or some kind of Castellanos/Rojas Frankenstein depending on where you look on the internet; and Adolis Garcia is a guy, no more no less. Considering the future financial obligations of the club with and without Trout, keeping the league-minimum Crawford around is more likely than Garcia.
The Phillies are already at around $315m in payroll for this season. They will certainly look to add at the deadline, but how much money they can throw on top of the pile is very much in the air. Most players would come at tolerable pro-rated amounts, but Trout at $11.5m would be tough and not leave anything for the bullpen. Going forward, the team has a lot of room on the budget though.
Value and Compensation
Mike Trout may be hitting like Mike Trout again, but he still has SERIOUS red flags with health being #1. .489 would make a fantastic on base percentage, but a terrible games played rate. He has missed 414 out of 810 games the previous 5 years. Red Flag #2 is that he will be nearing 35 at the deadline. Trading for a guy in his late 30s with a huge contract and may miss half the games? Yikes! On the other hand, he will probably get to 500 HRs as a Phillie, is a local and noted big Eagles fan, his jersey would be a best seller, and he would somehow be our best outfielder by a lot. How do we reconcile this?
- Possibility 1: Salary Dump
- Idea: Trade the full contract to the Phillies for essentially nothing
- Who Says No: Probably both. The Phillies will not want to add a contract that large under any circumstances, it would be budget suicide. The Angels probably wouldn’t want to either for optics reasons. Can you imagine being the team that got nothing for Shohei Ohtani AND Mike Trout? Though dumping Trout and finally being clear of Anthony Rendon would be tempting, they don’t need the money.
- Possibility 2: Light on Prospects
- Idea: Trout + $53m for Aroon Escobar (Phillies #6), Dante Nori (#7), and Cade Obermueller (#9)
- Who Says No: This is the Phillies paying $25m per season plus $5m in salary relief this year. That’s still a ton for an aging Trout but it’s much more palatable. The Phillies would consider this but might need that salary to come down a bit more. The 2027 payroll is already at around $275m before this move. For the Angels, this would finally turn the page on a lost era, if that’s what they want to do. If Trout says yes, this could give them some decent prospects to fill a bad system even if none are stars.
- Possibility 3: Heavy on Prospects
- Idea: Trout + $115m for Gage Wood (Phillies #4) + Francisco Renteria (#5)
- Who Says No: If the Angels are going to take all but $10m of Trout’s yearly contracts they are going to want prospects, that is what they are essentially buying anyway. Would Wood and Renteria, two lottery tickets, be enough? Probably not. The Phillies would be happy with the saving money, but could Wood and Renteria get them someone better than Trout? If he’s healthy, no. If he’s not, yes. It’s tough.
- Possibility 4: Aaron Nola Straight Up
- Idea: Trout (4/$149m remaining) for Aaron Nola (4/$98m remaining)
- Who Says No: Aaron Nola would have to string some good starts together before this would even be considered. Even then, a 3rd team might need to be brought on to take him. Think of this possible trade as something like the Marcus Simien for Brandon Nimmo deal where two bad contracts were exchanged for one another. Is Nola worth almost $13m in savings each year? Is selling on Nola plus the additional cash worth it to get a guy who is always injured? If you can make an argument on both sides, then it is probably fair. However, there’s just very little upside for the Angels and too much risk for the Phillies.
Fishing?
Every year it is the same thing with Mike Trout. The locals hope a potential trade into rumor before the Angels decide to do nothing. That brings us to the big question I have yet to ask, why would the Angels trade him now? They are one of the few teams in baseball who can spend without it bothering them too much. Mike Trout’s contract is not weighing them down. That being said, lack of young talent ALWAYS weighs them down. Trout asking out of Anaheim would probably be the best outcome for them, allowing them to save face and start over.
Do any of these moves look any good though? Somehow the Nola one seems most fair while also being the least plausible. A Trout trade solves a lot of problems in theory but comes with so many red flags that assessing value becomes impossible. Let’s just hope he continues playing well so the rumors can swirl.
Stats: Baseball Reference
Contract Info: Spotrac

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